In comments to my last post, Colin Alberts asked about international rail travel in the Caucasus.
Short answer: not much.
Back in the Soviet days, there was a pretty good integrated rail network. The region is very mountainous, but the Soviets loved that sort of thing -- big-ticket, concrete-intensive civil engineering challenges got them excited. So they blasted tunnels, threw bridges, and ran rail lines all over the place. By the time they were done, you could go from any town in the region to any other town fairly quickly. You could go to Istanbul, or -- in a roundabout way -- to anywhere in the Middle East. And, of course, you could go to Moscow.
Then the Soviet Union collapsed.
Armenia went to war with Azerbaijan, and the border closed. Snip.
Turkey supported Azerbaijan. That border closed too. Snip.
There used to be a rail connection between Armenia and Iran. However, it passed through Nakhichevan, which is part of Azerbaijan. Snip.
That left Armenia with no international lines except a single one going north to Tbilisi, in Georgia. From there you could still go on to Russia. Except that Georgia had its own problems: a civil war with the breakaway province of Abkhazia. With Russian support, Abkhazia ended up winning the war. The Georgian-Abkhaz border closed. The rail line from Tbilisi to Moscow ran through Abkhazia. Snip.
So what now?
Armenia still has its own internal rail lines. Many of them have fallen into disuse. Total rail-miles travelled dropped by 90% in the 1990s. They're up since then, but are still nowhere close to Soviet levels. There's no more commuter service; there are still a few inter-city passenger trains.
There is one international passenger connection: an overnight train to Tbilisi. If I understand this right, it's literally one single train that just goes back and forth, completing one trip every two days.
From Tbilisi you can change trains for Azerbaijan. But not for Moscow or for Turkey. There is no rail link between Georgia and Turkey.
(That last may change. Azerbaijan and Turkey want a rail connection through Georgia. Armenia absolutely hates this idea; Georgia is blowing hot and cold. Negotiations have been under way for a couple of years now. They might reach agreement later this year, or next year, or never... it's not clear.)
There is a lot of freight traffic on the Georgia line. Some large percentage of Armenia's imports and exports go by rail, and they're all going on this one line.
Road links are better, but still not great. The borders to Azerbaijan and Turkey are officially closed to road traffic. There's one two-lane road going to Iran; I'm told that it often closes for a couple of months in the winter, from snow in the high pass. So, the only serious international connection is through Georgia again.
To drive from Yerevan into Turkey -- legally -- you must first drive to Georgia (about 3-4 hours) then west across Georgia to the border (another 3-4 hours). Say 7 hours altogether. This is rather ironic given that the Turkish border is only about 25 km (15 miles) from here; when I look at Mount Ararat, I'm looking over the border into Turkey.
Anyway. One of these days I'd like to try the trains. Pure curiosity...
Posted by douglas at July 18, 2006 10:12 AMAnyway. One of these days I'd like to try the trains. Pure curiosity...
Something tells me it won't be like riding the old 20th Century Limited in terms of creature comforts and cleanliness. But no matter, roughing it is sometimes fun. It might be nice someday if some travel writer could ride the rails from Berlin to Basra via Ukraine, Russia and the Caucasus--maybe I'll get around to that, if borders ever become a bit less problematic...
Sweet Mary and Joseph. What are trade costs like? No rail links, crappy road links to Georgia. Is that road overloaded, or does Armenia just not trade a whole lot?
Another question: what's the real exchange rate like? I don't mean the statistics, that I can look up. (And don't always trust.) I mean your personal experience: if trade costs are really high, then the relative price of nontradables should be really low, which would mean that Armenia should feel like a really inexpensive place to live compared to the other countries you've been to recently.
Posted by: Noel Maurer at July 18, 2006 04:47 PMNo rail links, crappy road links to Georgia.
Not quite. Crappy road link to Iran, mediocre road links to Georgia, and one mediocre rail link to georgia.
Is that road overloaded, or does Armenia just not trade a whole lot?
Both. Nobody's sure how much damage the closed borders are doing, but estimates run up to 25% of GDP.
f trade costs are really high, then the relative price of nontradables should be really low, which would mean that Armenia should feel like a really inexpensive place to live compared to the other countries you've been to recently.
Ah hah hah hah.
Here we open the file that I've tentatively labelled, "Armenia -- WTF?" The macroeconomics of this country are deeply freaky.
But that deserves a post of its own, or several.
Doug M.
I eagerly await it, Doug.
Posted by: Noel Maurer at July 18, 2006 11:02 PMNow we're talkin'. Here's some more of that high power geopolitical analysis we HDTD readers pay so dearly for. Value for money kids, value for money
Posted by: Francis "Crime Dog" Burdett at July 20, 2006 12:06 AM