I've always wondered why Romanians were so adamant about their country joining the EU in 2007. Listening to the talk, it appeared as if this date was fixed, absolutely certain. On May 1, the entire city of Bucharest was decked in European flags. For a moment, I was not sure whether Romania hadn't managed to do the impossible thing and make the EU a union of 26. On May 9, Europe Day was celebrated with a giant firework and President Illiescu declared that Romania was a "de facto member of the European Union".
Not so, my friends and I'm not the only one to think so.
The Economist had an article about this very topic just last month.
Romania's pantomime of optimism deters EU officials and visiting politicians from questioning its ambitions, at least publicly. The only blunter message has come from the European Parliament, which said last month that Romania's accession in 2007 would be impossible unless it tackled such issues as corruption, a lack of judicial independence, harassment of the media and police brutality. [...] Romania wants the negotiations concluded by the end of this year, but that looks unlikely. Even the completion of negotiations would not mean that Romania was “ready” to join the EU in any strict sense. Nobody thinks this poor, sprawling country, whose income per person is 10% of the EU average, will have an efficient government, decent judges, a sophisticated market economy and mastery of EU law by 2005, nor even by 2007.
You'd think with the end of 2004 approaching rapidly -- I'm not kidding, it's only six more months, considering that the entire country shuts down in August -- Romanian politicians would do everything to speed up the reform process. But no, they are in fact dragging their feet. Why? Because 2004 is also an election year. Nobody likes to make important and maybe unpopular decisions when at the same time he has to fear for his reelection. It's one of those things that drive my poor husband crazy but it can't be helped, apparently. I myself heard a Minister of Something or Other say "but it's an election year, nobody will do anything". (He didn't say it to me. I overheard him in the buffet line at the Dutch Embassy's celebration of Queen Beatrix' birthday.)
It hasn't helped that Romania sided with the US in the Iraq war. You could argue that Romania is a free country and can choose alliances as it wishes but the truth is, France and Germany were mighty pissed. As questionable as the influence of those two countries may be, one cannot deny that it exists. The EU is nothing without France and Germany. Having them be angry at you is not good.
See - we have a water cooler, and a subscription to a certain amount of water each month. I call, they come and deliver the canisters. Nice people, very quick service. I have to give three signatures on three different forms, every time. There's a lot of money, time, and workforce that could be saved if they only used one form. Multiply that with all the businesses in Romania (because they all use 3+ forms), and you have something to begin with. It's just one small example but it's typical.
The inefficiency in this country is a leftover from the Communist heydays but those are long gone and it should be corrected, and soon. All of my Romanian friends and acquaintances agree on that point -- so why does it seem so hard to change? Crusted structures are hard to break open, especially when people initially might loose their jobs. Walk into any retail store and count the sales clerks there. Count the many construction workers that simply stand around and watch the other construction workers work. Any change that will send countless people on the streets will not be popular, and, as I said, it's an election year.
I love Romania. I want things to be better for all my Romanian friends. I think Romania does belong into the EU, some day. But that day will not be January 1, 2007.
Considering all this, I dare a predicition: 2007 is out. When then? 2009? Even later than that?
I guess we have to wait and see.
Posted by claudia at May 22, 2004 05:07 PMHi,
I noticed similar things in Bulgaria two weeks ago - EU-flags all over the place as if they had already joined.
Greetings
novala
For what it's worth, a recent Reuters poll of economists gave Romania a 60% chance of joining in 2007.
http://www.forbes.com/home/newswire/2004/05/20/rtr1378532.html
Posted by: Michael M. at May 24, 2004 02:46 AMI'm gonna ask a stupid question ...
Why don't the smaller nations seeking EU membership begin by forming a similar "free trade zone", strategic military alliance, tax harmonization policy board, central bank, common currency, etc etc etc, all among themselves? (Sort of like how, when the boys won't let the girls in the treehouse the girls just build their own in the next tree...)?
Posted by: Pouncer at May 24, 2004 05:08 PMMichael - thanks for the link. But the accession is not only an economic question. I remain doubtful especially in respect to law and legal reform. See, today is another one of those days when my dear husband's best efforts are thwarted by some unmovable person. Some days, you just want to scream "Don't you see? This would be GOOD for you!"
Anyway. How's it, being in the EU?
Claudia
Pouncer,
That's the American attitude. (And I think it's a good one, just to have that stated.)
I dare say there is just too much, hm, too little love lost between the Balkan neighbors here (and don't forget, Romania is not Balkan!).
It would be great but I can't see it.
I'll say more to that some other time. Private crisis is demanding my attention.
Claudia
Posted by: claudia at May 24, 2004 07:01 PMIt's the old narrow minded ex-commies involved in politics that are stopping this country to grow.
Just watch the images from the parliament on TV. It's 80% empty most of the time, the ones present are signing up for the rest of them as well, they get caught on camera, shown on TV, they blatantly deny it all, etc. To cut this short, they couldn't care less. They have a warm spot in there for four years, that's all it matters. They're all against the uninominal vote - of course they are! Who cares you've got a 22 mil. people country to run...
And why are we so obsessed with joining in 2007?! What do we get, really? LOADS of funds, that we'll be unable to absorb and we'll be returning most of them back, and heavy competition that will wipe the floor with the local companies. We should improve absorbtion capacity, reform what hasn't been yet reformed - and, oh, there's plenty, etc. etc. and then join the EU. Might I say that not even Bulgaria is prepared for joining. WHY the rush?!
Great blog, by the way.
Posted by: X at May 24, 2004 10:08 PMHi Claudia, there's no discernible difference so far. Now that Slovenia is finally an EU member, people have shifted their attention towards adopting the euro. (With 2007 being, in this case, the be-all end-all magic number.)
I don't know what people will look forward to after that.
Posted by: Michael M. at May 24, 2004 10:54 PM